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Post by 58chevy on Dec 24, 2021 11:31:16 GMT -8
It has been an unusually warm December in my area (Houston). Temperatures have been in the 80s for most of the month and will continue until the end of the year. Lots of butterflies have been on the wing. I'm worried that because of this we'll have a long winter cold snap like we did last year. It wiped out the power grid and resulted in a subpar collecting season. I don't know how often long periods of warmth are followed by long periods of cold, but the law of averages must have some effect. Is anybody out there familiar enough with meteorology to make an educated prediction?
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Post by livingplanet3 on Dec 24, 2021 13:26:51 GMT -8
It has been an unusually warm December in my area (Houston). Temperatures have been in the 80s for most of the month and will continue until the end of the year. Lots of butterflies have been on the wing. I'm worried that because of this we'll have a long winter cold snap like we did last year. It wiped out the power grid and resulted in a subpar collecting season. I don't know how often long periods of warmth are followed by long periods of cold, but the law of averages must have some effect. Is anybody out there familiar enough with meteorology to make an educated prediction? It's over 70 F here in North TX today - plenty of butterflies are active; even saw a Danaus gilippus this afternoon. Yesterday, I saw an Anaea andria, and even more surprisingly, a Phanaeus vindex; not sure if I've ever seen either of those species this late in the year before. This is a La Niña year, so hopefully we can expect consistently warmer than average temperatures all winter long, at least in the southern half of the US. By the way, I hear that AZ got record rainfall this summer, so collecting there should be very good next season. |
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Post by kevinkk on Dec 26, 2021 9:00:13 GMT -8
It is not warm here in Lincoln City, on the Oregon coast. It started snowing last night and there's an inch of snow at least, and it's still
coming down. We rarely get snow at sea level, I may have to go out and get the coveted snow on the beach pictures, which I haven't seen here in
maybe 10 years. A local interesting fact, we are halfway between the equator and the north pole.
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Post by gaspipe on Dec 26, 2021 15:30:28 GMT -8
Weather by definition is in predicable . Unless you live in Arizona it’s a crap shoot . How many school days have been cancelled because of a “Nor’easter “ that pooped out??
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Post by exoticimports on Dec 27, 2021 7:56:17 GMT -8
I find that weather is generally predictable. If I can drive the convertible on Halloween, 70% chance I'll be able to drive it on Thanksgiving, and 50% chance I can drive it on Christmas. However, if Halloween is snowy, it's going to be snowy through the end of the year. Of course, Jan-March is cold and snow, snow, snow. Period.
For TX, La Niña is the key. I'd think it will be relatively mild. Jet stream is the element to watch.
The only time weather sends retribution (i.e., bad weather following nice weather) is on the small scale- ramp up a nice warming for a week, and guaranteed a cold front will come smack it down. That's the cycle based on air pressure.
Chuck
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